2012 Premier League, Primera Division, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1 Review

The tables show the clubs’ average points-per-game (PPG) achieved in the league in the last two calendar years across the five biggest European leagues. The Change column represents the difference between a team’s ppg between 2010 and 2011, while the % Change column represents the percentage difference. A team with positive change will have improved in 2011 from the previous year, whereas a team with a negative change will have declined during the same period. Each league is ordered by the points-per-game earned in 2011, and so reflects how the league would look over the calendar year.

Naturally newly promoted sides have no comparison with 2011 unless they were relegated in the 10/11 season. To use their performances in the lower divisions would be flawed due to the obvious difference in quality. Their points-per-game for 2011 is still listed, but it should be noted this is only based on roughly the number of games played by the other teams. Similarly teams that were newly promoted in the 10/11 season have a smaller sample of games in 2010.

Analysis of the Premier League results can be found here. I haven’t attempted to analyse the data as my knowledge of other leagues is limited, but the results are below.

Premier League

2012 Premier League PPG

La Liga

2012 La Liga PPG

Serie A

2012 Serie A PPG

Bundesliga

2012 Bundesliga PPG

Ligue 1

2012 Ligue 1 PPG

Observations

Frankfurt are the outstanding club of 2012, increasing their average points-per-game by a staggering 275.0% from the previous year. Following a miserable 2011 in which they averaged just 0.47 PPG and understandably were relegated, Frankfurt’s return to the Bundesliga has seen a remarkable improvement and they finished 2012 in 4th place, level on points with defending champions Borussia Dortmund. Honourable mentions also go to Freiburg (82.8%), Sampdoria (52.6%) and Ajaccio (50.0%), all four clubs improving by over 50% on their weak 2011 performances, although Sampdoria and Ajaccio still find themselves battling to avoid relegation.

At the top of the divisions, Manchester United (6.9%) improved their PPG from 2011 to 2012 despite not winning the Premier League, demonstrating just how well Manchester City (-0.8% change) performed in winning the title (analysis of the Premier League PPG can be found here). Barcelona have taken advantage of Real Madrid’s slight decline (-1.1%) by improving their PPG by 11.1% which resulted in them taking a massive 2.63 points-per-game in 2012. In Italy Juventus underlined their supremacy by increasing their PPG by 42.5% and averaging over 0.5 of a point more than the next most successful team in 2012, AC Milan. Double Bundesliga champions Borussia Dortmund improved their PPG average by 16.7% but still trail Bayern Munich in this year’s title race. Finally Paris Saint-Germain became the only team in Ligue 1 to average over 2 points-per-game in 2012. It is particularly interesting to note that the top performers in four of the five leagues in 2012 did not win the 11/12 championship, suggesting that clubs either suffered from poor starts to the previous campaign or have become more ruthless this season.

Like 2011, no club’s PPG declined by 50%, but there were still some dramatic regressions in performance, with eight teams declining by more than 30% (compared to six in 2011). 2012’s most declining club is Deportivo who are performing 37.9% worse than in 2011. The fact that Deportivo were related in 2011 certainly doesn’t bode well for their prospects of survival this campaign. Close behind are Aston Villa (-37.0%), Genoa (-34.8%), Liverpool (-34.3%), Valencia (-32.9%), Palermo (-31.6%), Werder Bremen (-31.4%) and Udinese (-30.9%). The decline of Liverpool, Valencia, Werder Bremen and Udinese is particularly surprising since all four have appeared in the Champions League in recent years. Of the eight only Werder Bremen and Udinese did not experience a managerial change in in 2012, although it will be alarmin for Villa and Liverpools fans to know that their new manager has presided over half of last year’s results, whereas Deportivo, Genoa, Valencia and Palermo all changed managers towards the end of the year. Genoa’s predicament is even more understandable when you consider that they had four different managers in 2012.

Click here for the 2012 Premier League Analysis.

Click here for the 2011 Premier League, Primera Division, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1 Review.

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